Volatility struck the cryptocurrency market ahead of Ethereum’s transition to Proof-of-Stake. As the Merge approaches, it appears that Bitcoin and Ethereum are preparing for a significant price movement. Bitcoin and…
Bitcoin found a strong buying interest near $18,500 against the US Dollar. BTC is recovering and there could be a fresh increase above the $20,000 resistance. Bitcoin remained stable and the bulls again protected the $18,500 support zone. The price is trading above $19,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a short-term channel forming with support near $19,280 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh rally if there is a clear move above the $19,650 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Holds Key Support Bitcoin price declined heavily from well above the $20,000 pivot level. BTC dropped below the $19,000 level, but the bulls were active near the $18,500 support zone. It seems like the price is well supported near the $18,500 zone and there are multiple rejections visible around the same area. The price is now rising and there was a move above the $19,000 resistance zone. The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $20,383 swing high to $18,487 low. Bitcoin price is now trading above $19,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a short-term channel forming with support near $19,280 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the $19,600 level. The next major resistance sits near the $19,650 zone. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $20,383 swing high to $18,487 low. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com A close above the $19,650 level might start a fresh increase. In the stated case, the price could rise towards $20,000. Any more gains might lead the price higher towards the $20,500 resistance zone. Another Decline in BTC? If bitcoin fails to recover above the $19,650 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. An immediate support on the downside is near the $19,280 zone and the channel trend line. The next major support is near the $19,200 zone and the 100 hourly SMA. The main support is near $19,000. Any more losses might call for a drop towards the $18,500 support zone in the coming sessions. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $19,200, followed by $19,000. Major Resistance Levels – $19,650, $20,000 and $20,500.
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The crypto market could face more volatility during today’s trading session. The U.S. Federal Reserve is set to host its Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and possibly announce a hardline approach to combat inflation. Related Reading | Bitcoin Miners’ Exchange Flow Rises To Seven-Month High Amid Bloodbath Inflation metrics have been at their 40-year high versus the U.S. dollar. Thus, investors expect the financial institution to announce a hawkish monetary policy to try and bring down inflation which has been impacting the crypto market and risk-on assets. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is barely hanging above $20,000 and records a 33% loss in the last week. Ethereum records a 40% loss over the same period with smaller cryptocurrencies trading in the red. Trading desk QCP Capital recently posted a market update highlighting the levels of panic in the crypto market. As Bitcoin and other larger cryptocurrencies trended to the downside, major crypto companies failed to meet their financial obligations. The recent evens followed a catastrophic collapse in the Terra ecosystem which already set the stage for a soft market to see further losses. Now, lending and borrowing platform Celsius halted all withdrawals, and Coinbase and BlockFi fired 18% of their personnel. In a letter to his employees, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong spoke of an imminent economic recession. These events contributed to the crypto market selloffs. QCP Capital said: These are record levels for the year, reflecting the heightened panic in the market as we head into FOMC in a few hours. Markets have revised expectations for the FOMC rate hike from 50 bps to 75 bps. Markets are rightly worried that the Fed might be prioritizing inflation over recession concerns. In other words, the FED could choose to stop inflation regardless of spilling more blood in the traditional market. Will The Crypto Market See More Violence? However, QCP Capital believes there is a possibility for some relief in the short term. This move to the upside could be supported by the high amount of leverage positions that suffered liquidations during the recent downside move. In addition, Bitcoin is trading above its previous all-time high which has often operated as a major area of support. This could provide bulls with more breathing room as selling pressure declines. QCP Capital added: The market seems to be at max bearishness right now and any dovish indication from Fed could trigger a short squeeze. While everyone is focused on the negative headlines, a sharp move higher could catch the market by surprise. Related Reading | Bitcoin Crash Sends Institutional Investors Running For The Hills The FED meeting will take place in less than an hour and could push Bitcoin and the crypto market back to their pre-2020 range. This could see BTC’s price trading in the $10,000 levels, but as of right now, $20,000 is holding.