Altcoins

Ripple Launches Innovation Challenge for CBDC Solutions on the XRP Ledger

Ripple is launching an innovation challenge aiming to promote the development of XRP Ledger (XRPL) apps for central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). According to the contest page, entrants can submit projects to three categories: interoperability, retail-facing, and financial inclusion. According to the contest rules, interoperability projects should involve solutions that help CBDCs bridge with other […]

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Crypto News Ethereum

Why Ethereum Could Trade At $500 If These Conditions Are Met

Ethereum has returned to the red as it was rejected as a major area of resistance. The cryptocurrency is bleeding out and records the second-worst performance in the crypto top 10 by market capitalization with a 10% loss in the last 24 hours. Solana (SOL) holds the number one position with a 13% loss. Related Reading | TA: Ethereum Topside Bias Vulnerable If It Continues To Struggle Below $1.2K The general sentiment in the market seems to be at an all-time low, but there is room for it to enter into a capitulation state, according to Daniel Cheung, Co-Founder at Pangea Fund Management. ETH’s price could succumb to macroeconomic conditions. Cheung claims the second crypto by market cap is correlated with traditional equities, in particular with the Nasdaq 100 via the Invesco QQQ Exchange Traded Fund (ETF). In that sense, the crypto market has become susceptible to stock price movement making it “a market regime where it is all just one big Macro trade”. The analysis claims that Ethereum could see a 40% drop from its current levels as the Nasdaq 100 has “a lot of room to fall”. This index has only experienced a 30% crash, and historically it has dropped by as much as 45%. The potential upcoming crash in the Nasdaq 100 (tech stocks), and in Ethereum as a consequence, will be driven by a poor earnings season, Cheung believes. This is one of the conditions that could force ETH’s price to break below $1,000 and into $500 for the first time since 2020. The analysis claims that the traditional market is misreading the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). The institution is attempting to slow down inflation, currently at a 40-year-old high as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), by increasing interest rates and unloading its balance sheet into the market. Will Ethereum Follow U.S. Stocks To The Downside? The objective is to reduce consumer demand, and reduce prices across global markets, in hopes that this will bring down inflation. Market participants seem to be underestimating the Fed, and thus could be unprepared for the consequences, Cheung argues: (…) there will likely be more iterations of lower earnings revisions that follow over the coming months especially given this is a market regime that very few investors have experienced This will bring equities lower and crypto to follow with it more downside to come. In fact, the analysis argues that the U.S. could already be in an economic recession. This could bolster the Fed to put more pressure on the market, having an even worse impact on Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. Related Reading | Bankman-Fried Is Looking At “Secretly insolvent” Small Exchanges & Crypto Miners This could be confirmed today with the report on GDP growth to be posted by U.S. financial entities. If this report spells economic slowdown, adding more downside pressure and further impacting companies’ earnings season, Cheung claims while adding: If the GDP print + CPI print + FOMC commentary all play out according to plan – we will likely be at a triple digit $ETH price once again. However, the land mine that investors would have to overcome would still not be over as 2Q22 company earnings would be just on the horizon.

Altcoins Bitcoin Ethereum

Coin Bureau Reveals Current Crypto Portfolio and Top Three Ethereum Killers

The pseudonymous host of Coin Bureau is revealing the current contents of his crypto portfolio. In a new YouTube update, the closely followed analyst known as Guy tells his audience how he is reorganizing his portfolio in the wake of crypto’s recent meltdown. According to the analyst, BTC and ETH are the main pillars of […]

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Crypto News Ethereum

CME Net Short Exposure Reaches ATH: Why Institutions Are Bearish on Ethereum

Ethereum has seen some selling pressure today and has rolled back on a portion of its gains. The cryptocurrency was bouncing back from below the $1,000 levels but has found hurdles on lower timeframes. Related Reading | Outflows Rock Bitcoin As Institutional Investors Pull The Plug, More Downside Coming? At the time of writing, ETH’s price trades at $1,166 with a 3% loss in the last 24 hours and a 3% profit in the past 7 days. Ethereum and Binance Coin were two of the best-performing assets in the crypto top 10 market cap. Their gains were able to pull back Bitcoin’s dominance which was close to reclaiming 50% of the sector’s total market cap. The second crypto in the top 10 decoupled from Bitcoin, while the latter stuck, ETH moved to the upside. When Bitcoin lags, and Ethereum leads, is often considered an indicator of potential downside. In 2021, when Ethereum moved on its own, the crypto market experienced downside price action. According to Arcane Research, Ethereum not only moved on its own on the spot market, but the futures market saw some interest action. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) ETH futures contracts have been trading at a discount when compared to ETH’s spot price. This divergence seems to hint at future losses for Ethereum. As seen below, the ETH futures contract has been trending to the downside since the beginning of June 2022 with an increase in open interest. This is the first time since the launch of this investment product that there is a discrepancy with its spot price. Arcane Research noted the following on why this could be bad news for the second crypto by market cap: We also note that the Ether-denominated open interest on CME climbed to the highest level since early April on Thursday while seeing a slight decline over the weekend. According to the most recent CFTC Commitments of Traders reports, assets managers are shorting Ether heavily (…). Are The Ethereum Shorts Justified? The Arcane Research report claims this is the first-time institutions have been this short on Ethereum. These entities have positions of almost $40 million on the CME trading platform with a slight reduction in the past seven days. Ethereum is currently in the process of migrating from a Proof-of-Work (PoW) to a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus algorithm. Recently, ETH core developers announced the delay of a component that will lead to this upgrade. Called the “Ethereum Difficulty Bomb” is the mechanism that will enable people to mine ETH. The ETH core developers claimed this will have no impact on the migration, but the market could have a different perspective. In addition, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler claimed that he is only willing to acknowledge Bitcoin as a commodity. He refused to speak about other cryptocurrencies but claimed the majority fits the description of a security. Related Reading | Why Crypto Is “Likely To Dump” As It Lags The S&P 500, Expert Says If Ethereum is classified as a security, the decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFT) and other sectors could be impacted and forced to comply with new regulations. Remains to be seen if these institutions can profit after the crypto market has experienced a massive crash.

Bitcoin Crypto News

Bitcoin “Reserve Risk” Metric Approaches All-Time Lows

Data shows the Bitcoin “reserve risk” indicator has recently plunged down and is now reaching all-time lows only seen back in 2015 bear and the March 2020 COVID crash. Bitcoin Reserve Risk Suggests HODLing Relative To Price Is Strong According to the latest weekly report from Glassnode, BTC investors have been holding strong onto their coins despite the large decline in the crypto’s price recently. Before looking at what the “reserve risk” indicator does, it’s best to get an understanding of a couple concepts first. A “coin day” is accumulated in the market for each 1 BTC that stays unmoved for a day. The sum of such coin days in the entire market can tell us about how dormant the long-term holder supply has been. Because of this, the sum of coin days can be an effective way of measuring the conviction of hodlers in the Bitcoin market. However, there is another way to interpret the coin days and hence the LTH conviction; as Glassnode explains: Stronger hands will resist the temptation to sell and this collective action builds up an ‘opportunity cost’. Every day HODLers actively decide NOT to sell increases the cumulative unspent ‘opportunity cost’ (called the HODL bank). The other idea of interest here is the incentive that these LTHs have to sell right now. It is measured through the current price of Bitcoin. Whenever the price goes up, hodlers become increasingly tempted to realize their profits, and hence the incentive to sell goes up. Related Reading | First In History: Bitcoin Mayer Multiple Records Lower Value Than Last Cycle’s Low Now, the reserve risk models the ratio between this “incentive to sell” and the cumulative “opportunity cost” (explained above) of the long-term hodlers. Below is the chart for the indicator. The value of the indicator seems to have sharply declined recently | Source: Glassnde’s The Week Onchain – Week 26, 2022 As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin reserve risk has gone down in recent days and is now approaching all-time lows. This suggests that despite the plunging price of the coin during 2022, BTC investors have still been holding strong onto their coins. Related Reading | Bitcoin Monthly Tags Lower Bollinger Band, Tool’s Creator Hints At Bottom The last time such low values of the metric were observed was back in the late 2015 bear market and the March 2020 crash. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $20.9k, down 1% in the past week. Over the last month, the coin has lost 27% in value. The below chart shows the trend in the value of the crypto over the past five days. Looks like the price of BTC has been consolidating sideways recently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Glassnode.com

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Monetary Authority Of Singapore Promises To Be ‘Brutal’ On The Crypto Industry

Singapore's Second-Largest Bank Plans Foray Into Crypto

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (“MAS”), Singapore’s central bank, has reiterated the island country’s sense of stringency with regard to digital assets in a fresh comment promising more rigorous policies on crypto-related activities in coming times. Singapore now pushes forward policies that have scared away crypto firms In an interview with the British daily paper, […]