Cyber security analyst, Matt C, highlighted the growing pressure of the latest mining rigs upon previous generations of miners as hashing costs reach $0.07/kwh.
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Dogecoin (DOGE) had a boost that took it to an almost two-month high after Elon Musk bought a 9.2% in Twitter (a $2,8 billion stake) according to a Securities and Exchange Commission 13G filing released Monday, thus becoming the company’s largest shareholder. Will Elon Musk Buyout Twitter? The large buy by co-founder and CEO of Tesla, Elon Musk, seems to follow a recent Twitter poll made by himself where users expressed disconformity with the platform. “Free speech is essential to a functioning democracy. Do you believe Twitter rigorously adheres to this principle? The consequences of this poll will be important. Please vote carefully,” Musk’s poll read, and over 70% of users responded ‘No’. Although he is very popular on the social media network, Musk has been an open critic of Twitter for a while now. He has flirted with the possibility of building his own platform. Now, he owns a stake four times bigger than the shares held by Twitter co-founder Jack Dorsey. Many expect this move to mean that Musk will be pushing a plan to adjust Twitter closer to his beliefs and lead to a buyout. Dan Ives, an analyst at Wedbush Securities, commented to The Guardian: “We would expect this passive stake as just the start of broader conversations with the Twitter board/management that could ultimately lead to an active stake and a potential more aggressive ownership role of Twitter.” Musk’s buy was reflected in the company’s shares price with a spike of over 25% in pre-market trading. Twitter added roughly $8 billion in value when it reached its peak, and Musk’s $2,8 billion stake appreciated to over $3,5 billion. Related Reading | Price Analysis: Dogecoin Appreciates, Where’s It Headed Next? How Does it Affect Dogecoin? “Given that Twitter serves as the de facto public town square, failing to adhere to free speech principles fundamentally undermines democracy. What should be done? Is a new platform needed?” Musk had tweeted after the poll. To which the creator of Dogecoin responded: “I think it starts with them clearly articulating their rules – the way they do verification for example seems completely arbitrary, and I feel that many are afraid to tweet what they really think due to risk of being deplatformed if the rules are not clear, it’s a minefield.” As this buy hints at Musk having a personal interest in turning Twitter’s policy around as he sees fit, it may also read as the CEO acting accordingly to the desires of his followers. And beyond freedom of speech, a lot of Musk’s followers are Dogecoin supporters. Recently, the CEO tweeted a video about the coin, which was mostly a satire that suggests the price of the meme coin will surge exponentially and surpass all larger coins. But Elon Musk jokes aside, he is a strong supporter of DOGE, and his popular events have become a determining factor for DOGE’s price. Related Reading | Dogecoin Spikes 10% After Elon Musk Reveals He’s Not Selling For this reason, users expect that Elon Musk will push the social media platform into taking Dogecoin as a payment option and further integrate the coin. The CEO has already integrated DOGE as a form of payment for Tesla merch, after which it soared in value by 15% to $0.20. DOGE spiked 8.36% on the day following the news, jumping from $0.1431 to as high as $0.155. After a four-month gloomy downtrend, the meme coin’s market cap added over $1.5 billion in less than an hour. A day before the buy was revealed, a few traders predicted DOGE’s price to climb up to $0.17-$0.18 after it broke local trend resistance with bulls defending the $0.13 zone. The meme coin could see a significant uptrend in the following days if the bulls manage to fuel above the 200-day SMA price. Recent Musk-related events might jump in as an important factor for a climb up depending on further developments and announcements, and as the meme coin records a high correlation with larger coins, Bitcoin’s price movement will also be important for future action.
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin reserve of derivative exchanges has surged up recently as the price of the crypto has continued to crash down. Bitcoin Derivatives Exchange Reserve Observes Sharp Uptrend As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the crashing BTC price may be forcing whales and long-term holders to open short positions in order to hedge their portfolios. The “derivative exchange reserve” is an indicator that measures the total amount of Bitcoin currently present on wallets of all derivative exchanges. When the value of this metric goes up, it means coins are entering into derivative exchanges right now. Such a trend may mean investors are opening leveraged positions at the moment, which can result in higher volatility in the value of the crypto. On the other hand, a downtrend in the indicator implies investors are withdrawing their coins from these exchanges currently. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin derivative exchange reserve over the past year: The EMA 7 value of the metric seems to have observed some uptrend recently | Source: CryptoQuant As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin derivative exchange reserve had been heading down for quite a while, until recently when the indicator’s value once again started rising up. Recent data suggests that the crash in the coin’s price has pushed around 50% of the total BTC supply into loss. Based on this, many long-term holders and whales are also bound to be underwater right now. Related Reading | Bitcoin Breaches $19K Level – Will Selloff Continue? What’s The Next Bottom? The quant believes that the uplift in the derivative reserve is because of these long-term holders and whales panicking about their portfolios losing value. These holders are looking to hedge their portfolios and reduce risk by opening short positions on derivative exchanges. The analyst points out, however, that such aggressive shorting would create even more selling pressure, causing the price to see further drawdown. Related Reading | Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Now Own Nearly 80% Of Realized Cap But another possibility also arises from this situation, and that would a huge short squeeze. A lot of demand and a sudden reversal in the price of Bitcoin will need to occur before such an event can take place. The quant thinks it may take more time and further decline in the value of the crypto for the correct conditions to align for it. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $19.3k, down 29% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has lost 33% in value. Looks like the value of BTC has rebounded back a little after a dip below $18k | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com