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First In History: Bitcoin Mayer Multiple Records Lower Value Than Last Cycle’s Low

The Bitcoin Mayer Multiple has recently sunk to a lower value than the bottom of the previous cycle. This is the first time in the history of the metric that such a trend has formed. Current Bitcoin Cycle’s Mayer Multiple Low Is Deeper Than Last Cycle’s As per data released from the analytics firm Glassnode, the current value of the BTC Mayer Multiple is around 0.478. Before seeing what the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple does, it’s best to look at a basic explanation of a “moving average” first. A moving average (or MA in short) is an analytical tool that averages out the value of any quantity over a specific period of time. As its name implies, it moves forward along with the quantity, and changes its value accordingly. An MA can be taken over any timespan, whether that be 100 days, 72 hours, or even10 seconds. Related Reading | Why Pain May Not Be Over For Bitcoin Holders Just Yet The bigger MAs are usually quite useful for long-term analysis as they smooth out any irrelevant short-term fluctuations. One popular moving average for Bitcoin is the 200-day MA, which has historically indicated a bear market whenever the price has went below it, and a bull market whenever the price has crossed over it. Now, what the Mayer Multiple does is measure how much the price of the crypto has deviated from this 200-day MA. The below chart shows the trend in the metric over the course of the history of Bitcoin: The value of the metric seems to have been below 0.5 in recent weeks | Source: Glassnode In the graph, the blue line is for the Bitcoin 200-day MA and the green curve represents the points where the Mayer Multiple would have a value of 0.5. As is apparent from the chart, the price of the crypto has sunk below this 0.5 Mayer Multiple line only a few times in the past. Related Reading | Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Approaches Zero, Selloff Ending? In fact, out of the total 4163 trading days for the cryptocurrency so far, only 87 have been spent below the green line, which comes out to be about only 2%. A pattern that the Mayer Multiple followed before this cycle was that all successive cycles observed higher bottoms than the low of the previous one. In the cycle so far, the metric has already dipped to 0.478, which is less than last cycle’s bottom of about 0.511. This is a first occurrence in the history of Bitcoin. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $21.2k, up 3% in the past week. Looks like the value of the crypto has moved sideways recently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Maxim Hopman on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Glassnode.com

Time For Autopsy? Bitcoin May Plunge Further After Dive Below $30k

The next bull market in Bitcoin is now building a bottom. As a result, bears continue to rule the market, sending the price of bitcoin below $29,000 in the last 24 hours. Traders expecting the bear market to conclude may have to wait longer due to unfavorable conditions. Will Bitcoin Retrace? Bitcoin is no stranger to retracements of higher than 20%. More substantial corrections have occurred in Bitcoin’s history than this current one. Those who have been around long enough to recall previous meltdowns of more than 50% in less than a month can attest that this is just another hiccup. Since Bitcoin’s inception, there have been around seven price corrections, with the price dropping by half. Bitcoin has always bounced back after each of these corrections. Bitcoin fell by 83% in a short period of time in April 2013. When China first outlawed Bitcoin in December of that year, it dropped another 50%. BTC/USD slides below $30k. Source: TradingView 2018 was a difficult year. Although it reached an all-time high of about $20,000 in December 2017, it was only worth about $3,000 in December 2018. More recent investors will recall the March 2020 meltdown, when Bitcoin dropped 50% in a few of days. In May of 2021, the same event happened. Related reading | New Data Shows China Still Controls 21% Of The Global Bitcoin Mining Hashrate Despite this, markets are in chaos today, with Bitcoin down more than 20% in the previous week and more than 50% from its all-time high in November 2021. The 200 week moving average(WMA) is probably the most dependable and straightforward chart to provide some information on Bitcoin’s present position . It usually rebounds back rapidly from the 200 WMA. Only twice in history has Bitcoin fallen below the 200 WMA, and both times it was only for a short time. For more than a month, it has never been below the 200 WMA. Bitcoin’s 200 WMA is now about $22,000. With a current price of roughly $29,000, it may probably go lower or even trade sideways for a while, but the worst is likely behind it. Bloomberg Analyst Believes BTC Will Plummet Despite a recent 15% rally from the lows reached last week, Bloomberg analysts believe the flagship cryptocurrency will continue to fall. BTC now appears to be more fragile than previously. According to the article, Bitcoin’s recent rally has resulted in the formation of a “saucer-top” pattern on an hourly BTC chart. A Head and Shoulders pattern has emerged within it, indicating a trend change from bullish to bearish. Source: Bloomberg After BTC dipped beneath the formation’s neckline, the pattern was activated. In order to avoid a further drop, the Bitcoin price must now surge over $30,800. Santiment’s Bitcoin statistics shows a lackluster market sentiment as traders remain indifferent. On May 18, the S&P 500 fell more than 3%, dragging Bitcoin down with it. Indeed, since the beginning of 2022, the correlation between Nasdaq-100 and Bitcoin has remained tight, making it a good indication for anticipating Bitcoin price movement. Bitcoin-U.S. Equity Market Correlation. Source: Santiment Nasdaq-100 futures and other U.S. index futures are down about 1.5 percent at the time of writing. It suggests that the Bitcoin price may continue to fall. In fact, Asian and European stock markets are down more than 2% today. Whales, on the other hand, appear to be anticipating a bottom in order to continue accumulating. According to Rekt Capital, Bitcoin’s RSI has now reached the level where long-term investors have historically gained the most. Related reading | Funding Rates Fall To Yearly Lows Following Bitcoin’s Fall Below $29,000 Featured Image by Pixabay | Charts by TradingView

TA: Ethereum Struggles Below $2.5K, Why 100 SMA Is The Key

Ethereum is consolidating below $2,500 against the US Dollar. ETH price could continue to move down if there is no break above $2,500 and $2,550. Ethereum managed to stay above the $2,320 and $2,300 support levels. The price is still trading below $2,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $2,450 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a decent increase if there is a clear move above $2,450 and $2,500. Ethereum Price Holds Support Ethereum declined below the $2,550 support after there was no upside break above $2,700. ETH even declined below the $2,400 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. However, the bulls were active near the $2,300 zone. A low is formed near $2,316 and the price is now correcting higher. There was a move above the $2,400 level. Ether price even climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,729 swing high to $2,316 low. It is still trading below $2,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $2,450 level. Besides, there is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $2,450 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The first major resistance is near the $2,500 level. A clear move above the $2,500 resistance might start a steady increase. In the stated case, the pair could even surpass the $2,550 level. Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com The next key hurdle could be $2,630. It is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,729 swing high to $2,316 low. More Losses in ETH? If ethereum fails to start a fresh increase above the $2,500 level, it could start a fresh decline. An initial support on the downside is near the $2,350 level. The first key support is now forming near the $2,315 level. If there is a downside break below the $2,315 and $2,300 levels, the price could accelerate lower. The next major support for the bulls may perhaps be near the $2,220 level. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now just above the 50 level. Major Support Level – $2,315 Major Resistance Level – $2,500